Daily Pre-Market Brief
AI-generatedNeutral-Down — XLV leads the SPDR 11 — SPY trend Normal
July 1, 2026 · Data through the US close · Auto-generated from quantitative models
Final since . The numbers on this page do not change after that.
Educational commentary, not investment advice. See full disclaimer.
Market Conditions are **Neutral-Down** (score 57.5/100) — main risks: distribution red, trend amber. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 58.0/100 (SLOWDOWN) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Healthcare (XLV) leads at #1 with a Stable signal and score 74.1, while Energy (XLE) trails at #11.
Market Conditions
Neutral-Down57.5/100
Cautious — half size, defensive tilt
Main risks: Distribution (red) • Trend (amber)
Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.
US Market Indicators
All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.
SPY Sentiment?
NEUTRAL
48.1/100
Macro Economic Indicator?
SLOWDOWN
58/100
Economic Regime?
Recovery
US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)
| Rank | Δ | Sector | Signal | Quadrant | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↑1 | XLV | Stable | Leading | 74 |
| 2 | ↓1 | XLI | Stable | Leading | 66 |
| 3 | ↑1 | XLF | Stable | Leading | 63 |
| 4 | ↓1 | XLU | Weak | Improving | 56 |
| 5 | ↑1 | XLY | Weak | Leading | 55 |
| 6 | ↓1 | XLK | Weak | Weakening | 52 |
| 7 | → | XLRE | Weak | Lagging | 52 |
| 8 | → | XLP | Weak | Lagging | 47 |
| 9 | ↑2 | XLC | Weak | Improving | 46 |
| 10 | ↓1 | XLB | Weak | Lagging | 45 |
| 11 | ↓1 | XLE | Weak | Lagging | 36 |
What to Watch
Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.
- ›XLV — seasonal score bullish (88/100)
- ›XLI (Industrials) — score 66, approaching Strong threshold (70)
- ›XLI — seasonal score bullish (90/100)
- ›XLF — seasonal score bullish (89/100)
- ›XLU — seasonal score bullish (86/100)
- ›XLY — seasonal score bullish (87/100)
- ›XLK — seasonal score bullish (92/100)
- ›XLRE — seasonal score bullish (90/100)
- ›XLP — seasonal score bullish (84/100)
- ›XLC — seasonal score bullish (87/100)
- ›XLB — seasonal score bullish (76/100)
Action Items
Economic Regime Favours
Sectors historically outperforming in this phase of the business cycle.
XLP, XLU, TLT, GLD
Caution: Persistent Weakness
Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.
XLC, XLE
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