Daily Pre-Market Brief
AI-generatedNeutral-Up — XLV leads the SPDR 11 — SPY trend Normal — 1 big mover
July 2, 2026 · Auto-generated from quantitative models
Educational commentary — not investment advice. See full disclaimer.
Market Conditions are **Neutral-Up** (score 62.5/100) — main risks: distribution red, internals red. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 59.4/100 (SLOWDOWN) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Healthcare (XLV) leads at #1 with a Strong signal and score 79.3, while Energy (XLE) trails at #11. 1 sector moved 3+ ranks today.
Market Conditions
Neutral-Up62.5/100
Constructive — standard size
Main risks: Distribution (red) • Internals (red)
Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.
US Market Indicators
All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.
SPY Sentiment?
NEUTRAL
47.2/100
Macro Economic Indicator?
SLOWDOWN
59.4/100
Economic Regime?
Recovery
US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)
| Rank | Δ | Sector | Signal | Quadrant | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | → | XLV | Strong | Leading | 79 |
| 2 | ↑1 | XLF | Stable | Leading | 67 |
| 3 | ↑1 | XLU | Stable | Leading | 66 |
| 4 | ↓2 | XLI | Stable | Leading | 64 |
| 5 | ↑2 | XLRE | Stable | Leading | 61 |
| 6 | ↑2 | XLP | Weak | Leading | 59 |
| 7 | ↓2 | XLY | Weak | Improving | 57 |
| 8 | ↑2 | XLB | Weak | Leading | 54 |
| 9 | → | XLC | Weak | Improving | 51 |
| 10 | ↓4 | XLK | Weak | Lagging | 43 |
| 11 | → | XLE | Weak | Lagging | 40 |
Notable Changes
What to Watch
Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.
- ›XLV — seasonal score bullish (88/100)
- ›XLF (Financials) — score 67, approaching Strong threshold (70)
- ›XLF — seasonal score bullish (89/100)
- ›XLU (Utilities) — score 66, approaching Strong threshold (70)
- ›XLU — seasonal score bullish (86/100)
- ›XLI — seasonal score bullish (90/100)
- ›XLRE — seasonal score bullish (90/100)
- ›XLP — seasonal score bullish (84/100)
- ›XLY — seasonal score bullish (87/100)
- ›XLB — seasonal score bullish (76/100)
- ›XLC — seasonal score bullish (87/100)
- ›XLK — seasonal score bullish (92/100)
Action Items
Economic Regime Favours
Sectors historically outperforming in this phase of the business cycle.
XLP, XLU, TLT, GLD
Caution — Persistent Weakness
Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.
XLC, XLE
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