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Neutral-Up — XLV leads the SPDR 11 — SPY trend Normal

July 6, 2026 · Data through the US close · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Final since . The numbers on this page do not change after that.

Educational commentary, not investment advice. See full disclaimer.

Market Conditions are **Neutral-Up** (score 67.5/100) — main risks: distribution red, trend amber. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 59.9/100 (SLOWDOWN) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Healthcare (XLV) leads at #1 with a Strong signal and score 78.0, while Technology (XLK) trails at #11.

Market Conditions

Neutral-Up67.5/100

Constructive — standard size

Trend
Breadth
Distribution
Volatility
Credit
Internals
Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (red) • Trend (amber)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

59.1/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

SLOWDOWN

59.9/100

Economic Regime?

Recovery

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

RankΔSectorSignalQuadrantScore
1XLVStrongLeading78
2XLFStableLeading74
31XLIStableLeading65
41XLUImprovingLeading59
5XLREWeakImproving58
6XLPWeakImproving56
71XLBImprovingLeading55
81XLYWeakImproving55
9XLCWeakImproving53
101XLEWeakImproving45
111XLKWeakLagging44

What to Watch

Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.

  • XLV — seasonal score bullish (88/100)
  • XLF — seasonal score bullish (89/100)
  • XLI — seasonal score bullish (90/100)
  • XLU — seasonal score bullish (86/100)
  • XLRE — seasonal score bullish (90/100)
  • XLP — seasonal score bullish (84/100)
  • XLB — seasonal score bullish (76/100)
  • XLY — seasonal score bullish (87/100)
  • XLC — seasonal score bullish (87/100)
  • XLK — seasonal score bullish (92/100)

Action Items

Economic Regime Favours

Sectors historically outperforming in this phase of the business cycle.

XLP, XLU, TLT, GLD

Caution: Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLC, XLE

Want the full picture?

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