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AI-generated

Neutral-Up — XLC leads the SPDR 11 — SPY trend Normal — 1 big mover — 2 squeeze setups building

July 10, 2026 · Data through the US close · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Final since . The numbers on this page do not change after that.

Educational commentary, not investment advice. See full disclaimer.

Market Conditions are **Neutral-Up** (score 60.0/100) — main risks: distribution red, trend amber. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 60.4/100 (MODERATE GROWTH) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Communications (XLC) leads at #1 with a Weak signal and score 61.3, while Materials (XLB) trails at #11. 1 sector moved 3+ ranks today.

Market Conditions

Neutral-Up60/100

Constructive — standard size

Trend
Breadth
Distribution
Volatility
Credit
Internals
Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (red) • Trend (amber)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

56.2/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

MODERATE GROWTH

60.4/100

Economic Regime?

Recession

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

RankΔSectorSignalQuadrantScore
12XLCWeakImproving61
2XLFImprovingLeading61
32XLVWeakWeakening55
41XLYWeakImproving55
51XLEWeakImproving48
6XLKWeakLagging47
73XLPWeakLagging43
8XLREWeakLagging43
92XLIWeakWeakening42
101XLUWeakWeakening42
11XLBWeakLagging37

Notable Changes

XLY in TTM Squeeze (9 bars) — watch for breakout
XLP (Staples) climbed 3 ranks to #7
XLRE in TTM Squeeze (6 bars) — watch for breakout

What to Watch

Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.

  • XLC — seasonal score bullish (87/100)
  • XLF — seasonal score bullish (89/100)
  • XLV — seasonal score bullish (88/100)
  • XLY — seasonal score bullish (87/100)
  • XLK — seasonal score bullish (92/100)
  • XLP — seasonal score bullish (84/100)
  • XLRE — seasonal score bullish (90/100)
  • XLI — seasonal score bullish (90/100)
  • XLU — seasonal score bullish (86/100)
  • XLB — seasonal score bullish (76/100)

Action Items

Economic Regime Favours

Sectors historically outperforming in this phase of the business cycle.

XLV, XLP, XLU

Caution: Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLE

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