Daily Pre-Market Brief

Neutral-Down — XLF leads the SPDR 11 — SPY trend Normal — 2 big movers — 4 squeeze setups building

July 13, 2026 · Data through the US close · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Final since . The numbers on this page do not change after that.

Educational commentary, not investment advice. See full disclaimer.

Market Conditions are **Neutral-Down** (score 50.0/100) — main risks: distribution red, internals red. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 61.0/100 (MODERATE GROWTH) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Financials (XLF) leads at #1 with a Improving signal and score 62.8, while Materials (XLB) trails at #11. 2 sectors moved 3+ ranks today.

Market Conditions

Neutral-Down50/100

Cautious — half size, defensive tilt

Trend

Breadth

Distribution

Volatility

Credit

Internals

Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (red) • Internals (red)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

46.8/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

MODERATE GROWTH

61/100

Economic Regime?

Recession

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

Rank	Δ	Sector	Signal	Quadrant	Score
1	↑1	XLFFinancials	Improving	Leading	63
2	↑3	XLEEnergy	Weak	Leading	62
3	↓2	XLCCommunications	Weak	Improving	60
4	→	XLYDiscretionary	Weak	Lagging	48
5	↓2	XLVHealthcare	Weak	Weakening	48
6	↑3	XLIIndustrials	Weak	Weakening	44
7	↓1	XLKTechnology	Weak	Lagging	44
8	↓1	XLPStaples	Weak	Weakening	44
9	↑1	XLUUtilities	Weak	Weakening	42
10	↓2	XLREReal Estate	Weak	Weakening	42
11	→	XLBMaterials	Weak	Lagging	37

Notable Changes

⚡XLE (Energy) climbed 3 ranks to #2

⚡XLY in TTM Squeeze (10 bars) — watch for breakout

⚡XLI (Industrials) climbed 3 ranks to #6

⚡XLK in TTM Squeeze (6 bars) — watch for breakout

⚡XLP in TTM Squeeze (6 bars) — watch for breakout

⚡XLRE in TTM Squeeze (7 bars) — watch for breakout

What to Watch

Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.

›XLF — seasonal score bullish (89/100)
›XLC — seasonal score bullish (87/100)
›XLY — seasonal score bullish (87/100)
›XLV — seasonal score bullish (88/100)
›XLI — seasonal score bullish (90/100)
›XLK — seasonal score bullish (92/100)
›XLP — seasonal score bullish (84/100)
›XLU — seasonal score bullish (86/100)
›XLRE — seasonal score bullish (90/100)
›XLB — seasonal score bullish (76/100)

Action Items

Economic Regime Favours

Sectors historically outperforming in this phase of the business cycle.

XLV, XLP, XLU

Caution: Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLY, XLK

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