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AI-generated

Neutral-Down — XLE leads the SPDR 11 — SPY trend Normal — 1 big mover — 2 squeeze setups building

July 30, 2026 · Data through the US close · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Final since . The numbers on this page do not change after that.

Educational commentary, not investment advice. See full disclaimer.

Market Conditions are **Neutral-Down** (score 57.5/100) — main risks: distribution red, trend amber. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 65.5/100 (MODERATE GROWTH) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Energy (XLE) leads at #1 with a Stable signal and score 71.1, while Communications (XLC) trails at #11. 1 sector moved 3+ ranks today.

Market Conditions

Neutral-Down57.5/100

Cautious — half size, defensive tilt

Trend
Breadth
Distribution
Volatility
Credit
Internals
Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (red) • Trend (amber)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

51.2/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

MODERATE GROWTH

65.5/100

Economic Regime?

Recovery

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

RankΔSectorSignalQuadrantScore
11XLEStableLeading71
21XLVWeakWeakening59
32XLBWeakLeading59
42XLFWeakWeakening58
52XLREWeakWeakening54
62XLPWeakLeading54
74XLKWeakImproving52
8XLIWeakLagging49
92XLUWeakLagging46
10XLYWeakLagging39
112XLCWeakLagging35

Notable Changes

XLK (Technology) climbed 4 ranks to #7
XLI in TTM Squeeze (13 bars) — watch for breakout
XLU in TTM Squeeze (10 bars) — watch for breakout

What to Watch

Sectors near a signal threshold or with elevated seasonal tailwinds.

  • XLV — seasonal score bullish (86/100)
  • XLB — seasonal score bullish (73/100)
  • XLF — seasonal score bullish (89/100)
  • XLRE — seasonal score bullish (88/100)
  • XLP — seasonal score bullish (85/100)
  • XLK — seasonal score bullish (90/100)
  • XLI — seasonal score bullish (86/100)
  • XLU — seasonal score bullish (85/100)
  • XLY — seasonal score bullish (83/100)
  • XLC — seasonal score bullish (91/100)

Action Items

Economic Regime Favours

Sectors historically outperforming in this phase of the business cycle.

XLV, XLP, XLU

Caution: Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLK, XLY, XLC

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