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Neutral-Up: XLE leads the SPDR 11: SPY trend Normal: 1 squeeze setup building

September 11, 2026 · Data through the US close · Auto-generated from quantitative models

Final since . The numbers on this page do not change after that.

Educational commentary, not investment advice. See full disclaimer.

Market Conditions are Neutral-Up (score 62.5/100): main risks: distribution red, trend amber. Underlying SPY trend is Normal with MEI at 67.9/100 (MODERATE GROWTH) and sentiment reading NEUTRAL. Energy (XLE) leads at #1 with a Improving signal and score 72.0, while Materials (XLB) trails at #11.

Market Conditions

Neutral-Up62.5/100

Constructive: conditions improving

Trend
Breadth
Distribution
Volatility
Credit
Internals
Macro Regime

Main risks: Distribution (red) • Trend (amber)

Synthesised from trend, breadth, distribution, volatility, credit, internals, and macro inputs. See the Market Conditions tab for full detail on each light.

US Market Indicators

All indicators are based on US equity markets and economic data.

SPY Sentiment?

NEUTRAL

55.6/100

Macro Economic Indicator?

MODERATE GROWTH

67.9/100

Economic Regime?

Stagflation

growth -2.4 · prices +17.8 · too close to call

US Sector Rotation (SPDR 11)

RankΔSectorSignalQuadrantScore
1→XLEImprovingLeading72
2↑1XLCImprovingLeading59
3↓1XLKWeakLeading56
4→XLFWeakLagging52
5→XLUWeakImproving46
6↑1XLPWeakLagging46
7↑1XLYWeakLagging44
8↓2XLVWeakLagging43
9→XLREWeakLagging42
10↑1XLIWeakLagging40
11↓1XLBWeakLagging38

Notable Changes

⚡XLC in TTM Squeeze (11 bars): watch for breakout

Action Items

The macro economic indicator favours

Sectors that have historically done well when this reading looks like it does today. That is history, not a forecast.

XLV, XLP, XLU

Caution: Persistent Weakness

Sectors with an Avoid signal or in Weinstein Stage 4 (confirmed downtrend), excluding sectors currently favored by the economic regime.

XLRE, XLI, XLB

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